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Run On 4 Good: Pension Funding Strategy for 2024

29/4/2024

 

Surpluses Collapse the Case for Risk Transfer

29/4/2024

 
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Trustees’ Fiduciary Duty to Pursue ‘Run On’ in Members’ Best Interests

29/4/2024

 
Actuaries are required by new Government regulations TAS300 v2.0 from April 2024 to consider credible alternatives to bulk transfers – like Run On 4 Good – in advising trustees and sponsors.  Risk-benefit assessments are required to establish “members’ best interests”.  
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C-Suiteps Analytics provides the modelling. The output challenges standard advice of trustees and their professional advisors.  Trustees and sponsors will have to re-engage in strategic rethink ahead of bulk transfers.
​A calculation of downside risk
T​he PPF safety net covers a large, growing proportion of benefits limiting the downside risk to members.
The probability by any year of the scheme entering PPF given the strength of the sponsor needs to be factored into the risk assessment.
Upside benefit of discretionary improvements
​The level of surplus generated from running on over time with a stable investment return target builds over time.  Negotiation is needed between parties on the value of the surplus that will be available to past and present employees. (C-Suiteps Analytics shows how to model multiple outcomes.)  Public policy changes on use of surpluses will facilitate discussions.
Trustee response
​Where the risk is modest and falling and the benefit material and rising, the trustees’ fiduciary duty needs reconsideration.  Trustees should put proposals to the sponsor in the best interests of members.  A written sponsor confirmation of opposition to surplus sharing will be needed if it vetoes run on proposals ahead of a bulk transfer.  This could protect trustees against subsequent member legal challenges.
Sponsor response
​Given S172 CA 2006 Statements, ESG commitments and the earnings, cash and value upside to shareholders, sponsors will need to reset strategies to address run on and surpluses.
Legal consequences
​Non-compliance with TAS300 v2.0 and failure to pursue a run on strategy shown to be in member best interests creates legal vulnerabilities for trustees and advisers.  Class action on value lost is possible - not just a case about who the annuity provider is. (Ref Rothesay / Prudential or AT&T/Athene)
Professional indemnity and run off insurance
​The price and availability of insurance cover expected to run alongside a bulk transfer will need re-examination.  Where bulk transfers are pursued which are not established clearly to be in member best interests, actuaries, lawyers and professional indemnity insurers need to reflect on how to respond to member/ shareholder challenge.

Pension Schemes Can Run On 4 Good

16/4/2024

 
Value for Sponsors and Past and Present Employees in Getting Stuck In
What to do with surpluses in old Defined Benefit pension schemes?  It’s a question Government has put to the pension industry and sponsoring companies in a formal Consultation ending on 19th April.  There is a positive answer.  Use them to increase pensions and improve pension provision massively for today’s employees at a reducing cost to the employer.  There is £300 billion at stake.

The summary is “Run On 4 Good” – keep going steadily on, aiming for stable long-term returns.  Then, as excessive optimism about life expectancy becomes ever clearer, the scheme’s trustees will see the scheme has more money than it will ever need.  What a great chance to invest in what Government sees as productive assets – like infrastructure.  Then set about addressing, with the sponsor, intergenerational unfairness in pension provision and raising pensions- all in a new deal.

And it will happen.  Provided there is not a public policy error after the Consultation which allows sponsors to syphon large sums back to their Global HQ and still hand pension schemes over to life insurers.

Sponsors are big winners. Companies and today’s employees can benefit from DB surpluses paying more and more of their pension contributions as well as discretionary improvements being made to pensions in payment.  For scheme members the ultra successful Pension Protection Fund with its £12bn surplus is there covering more and more of remaining payments even in the unlikely event that the sponsor disappeared.  And if a scheme can afford a buyout, it can afford not to.  Better to ensure the sponsor’s Board see the scheme as a worked example of ESG policy in practice, aligned with its people and environmental priorities. It is a corporate wealth fund.

So the case for buyouts has collapsed with surpluses – unless you are part of the cosy, well-heeled actuarial consultancy / life insurer pension axis.  A parliamentary Select Committee reported in April concluding too much regulatory caution had largely killed off good pensions.

We should not be here.  But we are.  The art in pensions is to take your time.  Exercise discretion.  Don’t over commit.  But past and present employees should expect more.  The pension industry remains obsessed with ‘Endgames’.  But it’s not the End and it’s not a Game.  Plenty to go for.  The downside is remote and falling; the upside can be significant and immediate using existing trustee powers when there is sponsor backing.  

Members can be impactful.  When pensions were just about trustees protecting past benefits, member engagement was modest.  And now?  Just let employers and trustees know you are keen to hear about their new opportunities to exercise discretion.  The Government is rethinking its approach.  There is also value for members in getting stuck in.

Learn more about Run On 4 Good
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  • Home
  • Run On 4 Good
    • Run On 4 Good Pension Funding Strategy For 2025
    • TAS300 V2 trigger for rethink
    • Why You Should Run On 4 Good
    • Surpluses collapse the case for bulk transfers
    • Equity Investor Perspective
    • C-Suite Webinar
    • Members Letters and Questions
  • C-Suiteps Analytics
  • Commentary
  • FD Carol critiques risk transfers
  • Financial Services Growth and Competitiveness Strategy Call for Evidence response
  • DWP consultation response
  • Buy-ins Longevity swaps and other unforced errors
  • The unsustainable esg pensions carve out
  • Case Studies
  • The Team
  • Partnerships
  • Contact