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I had, I have, I will have : A critique of the buyout journey plan

26/6/2026

 
Defined Benefit Pension Risk Transfer Journeys for Members
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Why didn’t we stay put?  What did the actuarial advisors’ Technical Actuarial Standard 300 Version 2.1 review comparing run-on and other Credible Alternatives with bulk transfers show?  Did it justify the move from buy-in to buyout?  Where is the trustees’ own work on risk-reward / cost-benefit?  TPR guidance says it is part of the job.

Investment outperformance over low dependency calculation and prudence in longevity assumption can result in a large surplus.  Why can’t members have a value share with either a sponsor or life insurer?  Were Value Sharing proposals put to the sponsor?

The case for run-on is powerful for members / trustees.  It is also compelling for sponsors and Government.

All stakeholders can benefit from a readiness to Share Value


From Sponsor’s Perspective:
  • “Derisk and get rid ASAP” has been an expensive and defensive strategy.  Look at the track record of the scheme and ask questions.  Needs reassessing in changed circumstances – as scheme is fully funded to low dependency and beyond.  Hedged position makes major reversal very unlikely.
  • Accounting:  P/L; cash; balance sheets have minimal volatility and risk.  A sustained profit stream can be generated.
  • Discretion:  Value share arrangements can provide long term earnings stream and reduce cost base.
  • DB to CDC or added auto arrangement funding excellent for ESG credentials.
  • Now possible to sell out to regulated insurer : take scheme off balance sheet and maintain long term earnings stream through value sharing.

From Government Perspective:
  • UK growth is a central strategy feature.  The embedded value in DB schemes can provide impetus.  The resources and administrative infrastructures are already in place.
  • Provide incentives to help trustees with their fiduciary duty work.  Life insurers can maintain a lower cost base if UK asset allocation kept at required levels.
  • Surplus payments to members and above allowance surplus payments to sponsors generating taxable income.
  • Avoid adding to concentrated systemic risk in expectation that Government will “bail out” life insurers and / or their customers.

TAS300V2.1 requires bulk transfer v run-on comparisons: TPR guidance requires risk-reward assessments of “new models and options” for defined benefit pension schemes.  HMT / HMRC are supporting surplus sharing.

Stakeholders need financial models covering plausible downside and discretionary upside.  C-Suite has devised them.

More C-Suite Commentary

Rolls Royce Severs its DB Pension Scheme : Were Better Outcomes Available?

24/6/2026

 
Rolls Royce is severing its connection with its DB pension scheme.  It says it simplifies the Group and its investment proposition.  The trustees are winding up the scheme and handing it over to the still Bermudan based Athora.  Athora was in 2026 purchaser of Pension Insurance Corporation who in 2025 completed a scheme buy-in.  Athora will hand out annuities to members.

The member perspective is distilled in the following table of “I had; I have; I will have”.  

The explanatory letter sent to members in 2025 on the buy-in with PIC is a masterclass in how to gloss over difficult subjects.  It comes across as if it was written before Solvency UK took hold; offshore reinsurance changed life insurer economics and North American private capital alighted on UK pension liabilities.  That Rolls Royce’s chosen insurer was subject of a bid has no reference.  The letter tries to explain away surpluses and strong funding rather than even suggest that there could be scope to exercise discretion to make additional payments and address inflation protection.  In respect of “peace of mind” or member experience including added discretionary value sharing payments there is nothing included.  

Rolls-Royce is another story where better outcomes were available.  The long years of   derisking; the LDI over-hedged position when interest rates increased; the misjudged longevity transfers will have depleted sponsor commitment to the scheme.  Get rid ASAP prevailed.  The Rolls-Royce Pension Scheme History below provides some perspective on the progress of the scheme.

Change is coming.  Government has promised more coordination between regulators and to support “informed decisions” by trustees and sponsors.  Government now require schemes and their advisors to consider Credible Alternatives to buyout.  How the Rolls Royce conclusion was reached that BPA provided the best option might be subject to scrutiny – but actuarial work is all but scrutiny free, as three major Government reports have highlighted.
 
There is still over £1 trillion in DB schemes.  Outcomes can be devised which can be better than providing cheap, long term finance to North American private debt originators.
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Government charging for the regulation and assumed back up used to market annuities is reasonable.  The approach can encourage higher UK asset allocation and incentivising schemes running-on to share value created can bring practical, immediate benefits.
Rolls-Royce Pension Scheme Member Perspective : The Journey from Rolls Royce to Athora
​More or Less “Peace of Mind” in Severance
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Trustee rationale for the move to buyout was “greatly reducing” both investment risk to funding and reducing geopolitical risks.  

After buyout, the investments will have the higher investment risks allowed by PRA rather than those by TPR.  Athora is a Bermudan registered entity.  It has promised to move to London.  Funded reinsurance and Solvency Triggered Termination Rights suggest PRA is stretched to manage its booming Pension Risk Transfer market.  Severance with buyout means the tough regulatory control TPR has over Rolls-Royce and scheme trustees is lost.  Annuitisation creates new member vulnerabilities which FCA should consider ahead of buyouts replacing buy-ins.  FSCS is a life insurer scheme with no Government guarantee and no dedicated resources.  It can be subject to political change.  

Investment and political risks for members may in reality have increased.

“Security” for a buyout does not involve the annuity provider holder agreeing standard security financial features for a long term loan – third party contractual security; collateral; restrictions of transferability; acceleration clauses if risk of default increases.

Where does the Member First Journey leave Peace of Mind?  Upside written off : Downside introduced.
Rolls-Royce Pension Scheme History
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FT :  Still a DB Gold Standard Believer? Switch from Carats to Carrots

22/6/2026

 
Financial Times is a fan of UK life insurers taking on DB pension schemes.  Gold Standard.  

But has the market come off the Gold Standard?  Private debt originators have muscled in and have a big interest in the sector.  What’s happening is certainly receiving plenty of global attention.  Regulators need to be on top form.  They need to ensure their rules have not created loopholes.  That £40 billion of funded reinsurance did not have the desired capital back up is not a great precedent.  Perhaps the Lex advice should be to avoid over committing to pension risk transfers for the time being.  And FT might ask if the safety net of FSCS would work if needed.  The scale and the multi jurisdictions were not there until recent years.  There is no Government guarantee.
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The carats in the Gold Standard BPA solutions seems to have reduced.  Solvency UK has eased the rules.  Switch to carrots.  Incentives are needed for schemes and life insurers to invest money in the UK economy.  Government incentives around surplus use to raise UK asset allocation are up for consultation.  Here can be a source of major economic stimulus.  No mandation needed.  Meanwhile, the life insurers should pay for the carats in their Gold Standard provided by PRA supervision and FSCS.  “Peace of mind” is a key BPA selling tool – FT’s articles may be unsettling when sponsor severance is on the journey plan.
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​Further reading:
 
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I had, I have, I will have : A critique of the buyout journey plan

​The Rolls-Royce example : Were better outcomes available?

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  • Home
  • Run On 4 Good
    • Run On 4 Good Pension Funding Strategy For 2025
    • TAS300 V2 trigger for rethink
    • Why You Should Run On 4 Good
    • Surpluses collapse the case for bulk transfers
    • Equity Investor Perspective
    • C-Suite Webinar
    • Members Letters and Questions
  • C-Suiteps Analytics
  • Commentary
  • FD Carol critiques risk transfers
  • Financial Services Growth and Competitiveness Strategy Call for Evidence response
  • DWP consultation response
  • Buy-ins Longevity swaps and other unforced errors
  • The unsustainable esg pensions carve out
  • Case Studies
  • The Team
  • Partnerships
  • Contact